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Seminar: Thomas Metzger

Thomas Metzger Seminar Series
November 21, 2019
All Day
209 W Eighteenth Ave (EA), Room 170

Title

Detection of Latent Heteroscedasticity and Group-based Regression Effects in Linear Models via Bayesian Model Selection

Speaker

Thomas Metzger, Department of Statistics, The Ohio State University

Abstract

Standard linear modeling approaches make potentially simplistic assumptions regarding the structure of categorical effects that may obfuscate more complex relationships governing data. For example, recent work focused on the two-way unreplicated layout has shown that hidden groupings among the levels of one categorical predictor frequently interact with the ungrouped factor. I extend the notion of a “latent grouping factor” to linear models in general. This methodology allows researchers to determine whether an apparent grouping of the levels of a categorical predictor reveals a plausible hidden structure given the observed data. Specifically, I offer Bayesian model selection-based approaches to reveal latent group-based heteroscedasticity, regression effects, and/or interactions. Failure to account for such structures can produce misleading conclusions. Since the presence of latent group structures is frequently unknown a priori to the researcher, I use fractional Bayes factor methods and mixture g-priors to overcome lack of prior information. I illustrate the performance of my approach through simulation studies and empirical case studies. 
 

Note: Seminars are free and open to the public. Reception to follow.